Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.001185 0.001336 0.001488 0.001652 0.001824 0.001998 0.002187
2025-05-11 0.000903 0.001133 0.001375 0.001645 0.001937 0.002241 0.002579
2025-05-18 0.000623 0.000900 0.001206 0.001564 0.001963 0.002388 0.002871
2025-05-25 0.000429 0.000735 0.001095 0.001533 0.002034 0.002582 0.003214
2025-06-01 0.000269 0.000583 0.000982 0.001486 0.002081 0.002744 0.003522
2025-06-08 0.000164 0.000476 0.000907 0.001475 0.002163 0.002943 0.003868
2025-06-15 0.000107 0.000423 0.000892 0.001531 0.002321 0.003226 0.004309
2025-06-22 0.000049 0.000341 0.000827 0.001519 0.002393 0.003407 0.004633
2025-06-29 0.000016 0.000282 0.000785 0.001530 0.002488 0.003613 0.004983
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000255 0.000788 0.001597 0.002651 0.003897 0.005422
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000197 0.000729 0.001575 0.002700 0.004043 0.005699
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000142 0.000664 0.001538 0.002725 0.004159 0.005939
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000119 0.000660 0.001600 0.002894 0.004467 0.006427
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000075 0.000604 0.001584 0.002964 0.004661 0.006789
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000028 0.000506 0.001498 0.002940 0.004739 0.007017
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000007 0.000446 0.001463 0.002981 0.004898 0.007340
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000382 0.001415 0.003000 0.005028 0.007630
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000343 0.001402 0.003068 0.005217 0.007990
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000340 0.001456 0.003228 0.005524 0.008491
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000305 0.001444 0.003292 0.005707 0.008843
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001453 0.003386 0.005928 0.009239
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000288 0.001518 0.003560 0.006251 0.009759
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000253 0.001497 0.003606 0.006408 0.010076